Administration of macrolide antibiotics increases cardiovascular risk.

Background: The increased risk of cardiovascular events in patients prescribed macrolides has been subject to debate for decades. Methods: Medline, EMBASE databases and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from inception until August 31, 2022 for studies investigating the link between macrolides and cardiovascular risk. A meta-analysis was performed using a random-effects model. Results: A total of 80 studies involving 39,374,874 patients were included. No association was found between macrolides and all-cause death. However, compared with the non-macrolide group, macrolides were associated with a significantly increased risk of ventricular arrhythmia or sudden cardiac death (VA or SCD) (azithromycin, relative ratio [RR]: 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19 to 1.97; clarithromycin, RR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.07 to 2.16). Besides, administration of macrolides was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) death (azithromycin, RR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.17 to 2.27) and a slightly increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) (azithromycin, RR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.15). Interestingly, no association was observed between roxithromycin and adverse cardiac outcomes. Increased risk of VA or SCD was observed for recent or current use of macrolides, MI for former use, and CVD death for current use. Conclusion: Administration of macrolide antibiotics and timing of macrolide use are associated with increased risk for SCD or VTA and cardiovascular death, but not all-cause death.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the dynamic COVID-zero strategy on HIV incidence and mortality in China.

BACKGROUND: In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Chinese government implemented the dynamic COVID-zero strategy. We hypothesized that pandemic mitigation measures might have reduced the incidence, mortality rates, and case fatality ratios (CFRs) of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in 2020-2022. METHOD: We collected HIV incidence and mortality data from the website of the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China from January 2015 to December 2022. We compared the observed and predicted HIV values in 2020-2022 with those in 2015-2019 using a two-ratio Z-test. RESULTS: From January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022, a total of 480,747 HIV incident cases were reported in mainland China, of which 60,906 (per year) and 58,739 (per year) were reported in 2015-2019 (pre-COVID-19 stage) and 2020-2022 (post-COVID-19 stage), respectively. The average yearly HIV incidence decreased by 5.2450% (from 4.4143 to 4.1827 per 100,000 people, p <  0.001) in 2020-2022 compared with that in 2015-2019. However, the average yearly HIV mortality rates and CFRs increased by 14.1076 and 20.4238%, respectively (all p <  0.001), in 2020-2022 compared with those in 2015-2019. During the emergency phase in January 2020 to April 2020, the monthly incidence was significantly lower (23.7158%) than that during the corresponding period in 2015-2019, while the incidence during the routine stage in May 2020-December 2022 increased by 27.4334%, (all p <  0.001). The observed incidence and mortality rates for HIV decreased by 16.55 and 18.1052% in 2020, by 25.1274 and 20.2136% in 2021, and by 39.7921 and 31.7535% in 2022, respectively, compared with the predicted values, (all p <  0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that China's dynamic COVID-zero strategy may have partly disrupted HIV transmission and further slowed down its growth. Without China's dynamic COVID-zero strategy, HIV incidence and deaths in the country would have likely remained high in 2020-2022. There is an urgent need to expand and improve HIV prevention, care, and treatment, as well as surveillance in the future.

Sneezing Aerosol Transport in an Indoor Farmers’ Market

The transportation and surface deposition of aerosols from sneezing in a small indoor farmers’ market are studied numerically. The effects of numbers and locations of the entrances and exits of the market are discussed under the condition of natural convection. The results indicate that aerosols leave the indoor environment more quickly when two doors are designed face to face on the walls perpendicular to the natural wind direction compared to other natural ventilation strategies. The concentrations of aerosols accumulated on the surfaces of the stalls and human bodies inside the market are also lower. In this case, the risk of contacting the virus is relatively low among susceptible individuals in the indoor farmers’ markets. Moreover, opening more doors on the walls parallel to the natural wind direction is not beneficial for the fast exhaust of aerosols.

The effect of opening window position on aerosol transmission in an enclosed bus under windless environment Note: This paper is part of the special topic, Flow and the Virus

The potential risk of spreading a virus during bus transportation motivates us to understand the aerosol transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and seek effective ways to protect passengers in a bus. In this paper, a typical scenario in which the virus spreads in a bus under a windless environment is numerically studied for further understanding of the spreading characteristics of aerosol transmission in an enclosed space. The air flow in the bus and the spreading processes of droplets with different open windows configurations are obtained and analyzed. The variations of droplet concentration in the air with time are examined and analyzed. In addition, the transient droplet concentration deposited on the passengers is also counted to analyze the potential contact transmission. The results indicate that opening a window next to an infected person shows an unsatisfactory performance in limiting droplet spreading range and reducing droplet concentration, eventually leading to a high risk of infection by aerosol transmission following contact transmission. In addition, opening multiple windows also shows an unsatisfactory result for removing droplets in a bus since the turbulence flow accelerates the spreading speed and expands the spreading range. In contrast, the droplets are removed from the indoor space of the bus quickly if a window is opened in the row in front of the infected person, which is beneficial for reducing aerosol and contact transmission in the bus. Furthermore, it is strongly recommended to avoid sitting in the row in front of the infected person where the highest droplet concentration can be observed.

Suboptimal declines and delays in early breast cancer treatment after COVID-19 quarantine restrictions in China: A national survey of 8397 patients in the first quarter of 2020.

BACKGROUND: Cancer patients had been profoundly affected by the outbreak of COVID-19 especially after quarantine restrictions in China. We aimed to explore the treatment changes and delays of early breast cancer (EBC) during the first quarter of 2020. METHODS: We did this retrospective, multicentre, cohort study at 97 cancer centres in China. EBC patients who received treatment regardless of preoperative therapy, surgery or postoperative therapy during first quarter of 2020 were included. FINDINGS: 8397 patients were eligible with a median age of 50 (IQR 43-56). 0·2% (15/8397) of EBC patients were confirmed as COVID-19 infection. Only 5·2% of breast cancer diagnosis occurred after quarantine in Hubei compared with 15·3% in other provinces (OR= 0·30, 95%CI 0·24-0·38). postoperative endocrine therapy were least affected compared with different regions after quarantine (OR=0·37 [95%CI 0·19-0·73]). The proportion of surgery decreased from 16·4% in December last year to 2·6% in February in Hubei. Compared with intervals from diagnosis to treatment before quarantine restrictions, the average time increased with significance from 3·5 to 7·7 days in Hubei and 5·7 to 7·7 days in other provinces (p< 0·001). There were also 18·5 and 7·2 days delay in Hubei and other provinces respectively when calculating interval from surgery to postoperative therapy. INTERPRETATION: EBC from high risk regions had a comparative rate of COVID-19 infection. After implementation of COVID-19 quarantine restrictions, fewer diagnosis and surgery with significant delays were seen when compared with treatment before. FUNDING: Beijing Medical Award Foundation (YJ0120).